Valentine’s Day serves as a reminder that the greatest of all lovers gave us a bountiful, stunningly beautiful planet on which to live and thrive. As people travel across the globe, we see exquisitely designed features that bring us pleasure. One of the special features of Earth that makes our civilization and technology—and all that beauty—possible is Earth’s “Third Pole.” But is our remarkable Third Pole in jeopardy?
Where’s the Third Pole?
We’re all familiar with the North and South Poles, but what and where is the Third Pole? It’s a region of ice fields that (roughly) encompasses the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding mountains. This region is the source of many major river systems that provide water to more than a billion people in Asia.
Planets orbiting their host stars in the liquid water habitable zone—where an abundance of liquid water exists on their surfaces, if they have any surface ice at all—will have frozen water at their poles and perhaps on a few mountaintops and liquid water everywhere else. What is so astounding about our planet is that it presently has a third pole.
Earth’s largest store of ice is in Antarctica (the South Pole). Its second biggest ice deposit is over Greenland and the Arctic Ocean (the North Pole). One of Earth’s miraculous features is that it possesses a third pole, meaning we have not just two ice caps but three. Earth’s third ice cap is not at some high latitude. It ranges from 27° to 37° north latitude.
Most of the ice at Earth’s third pole resides along its southern edge. The total quantity of its summer ice is greater than the total quantity of ice in the summer Arctic Ocean ice cap. More than 95,000 glaciers comprise the Third Pole.1 In 1978, a team of glaciologists measured the total quantity of ice at the Third Pole to be about 14,000 cubic kilometers (3,400 cubic miles).2
Shrinking Third Pole
Despite an impressive amount of ice, the Third Pole, like The Incredible Shrinking Man, is experiencing continual, ongoing shrinkage. Glaciers around the world have experienced substantial mass loss during the past several decades. But this rapid mass loss is especially evident in the Himalayas. However, this observed loss lacked a long-term context. A team of six geographers led by University of Leeds’ Ethan Lee recently conducted a study that established the needed context.3
Lee’s team used a combination of geomorphological mapping and paleo-ice surface reconstruction to assess the changes in Himalayan glaciers over the past 700 years. By these means they successfully determined the extent and surface areas of 14,798 Himalayan glaciers during the Little Ice Age (LIA) 700 to 400 years ago.
The total land area covered by the 14,798 Himalayan glaciers shrank by 40% since the LIA maximum. Large valley floor glacier tongues (see figure 1 for an example) commonly retreated by more than 100 vertical meters (330 feet). Lake-terminating glaciers (see figure 2) had an ice mass loss rate that was 2.5 times greater than glaciers that ended at a cascading stream (see figure 1).
Acceleration of Shrinkage Rates
Lee and his colleagues measured the average mean surface lowering (shrinkage) of Himalayan glaciers since the LIA maximum. The lowering ranged from 0.011–0.020 meters per year, with the greatest lowering occurring in eastern Nepal and northern Bhutan and the least in Spiti Lahaul (the Karakoram Range in Kashmir). The rate of surface lowering, however, has greatly accelerated during the past several decades. From 1975 to 2000 the average mean surface lowering for all the Himalayan glaciers was 0.21 meters per year.4 From 2000 to 2016 the average mean surface lowering was 0.43 meters per year.5 This dramatic acceleration of ice loss far exceeds that of other glacial systems in the world.
Consequences of Shrinkage
The melting of the Third Pole bodes tragically not just for people living in Asia but for the entire human species. Twenty major rivers flow out from the Third Pole. These twenty rivers irrigate the great agricultural plains of Asia that feed more than 3 billion people. As total ice volume of the Third Pole shrinks, so too will the water delivery to Asia’s agricultural plains.
In addition to potential water loss, the shrinkage of the surface area covered by the Third Pole’s ice poses another threat: global warming. Owing to how close the Third Pole is to the equator, the Third Pole’s ice reflects sunlight about four times more efficiently than the ice at the Antarctic and Arctic poles. That is, per unit area of ice, the Third Pole has four times the cooling effect on Earth’s global mean temperature. Therefore, the acceleration of ice loss area in the Third Pole plays a major role in explaining the accelerated rate at which the global mean temperature has been rising over the past forty years.
Preserving the Third Pole
Clearly, it is in the best interest of all the world’s nations to do everything possible to preserve the Third Pole. Such a mandate is consistent with the command God gave to all humans through Adam and Eve (Genesis 1:28–30) to manage Earth’s resources for the benefit of all life.
Since lake-terminating glaciers melt two-and-a-half times faster than other glaciers, it is incumbent for engineers to drain the terminating lakes. Lee’s team noted that glaciers covered in dust and debris melt faster than clean glaciers. If Asian nations would transfer their fossil fuel dependence from coal to natural gas, much less black carbon soot would be deposited on the Third Pole. Such a move would also slow down the melting of the Arctic pole. As I explained in a previous article, “Black Carbon’s Link to Climate Change,” black carbon soot from coal burning in Asia is a prime contributor to the melting of snow and ice in Canada and Siberia. The transfer from coal to natural gas comes with several additional benefits: (1) natural gas releases only half the greenhouse gases to the atmosphere as does coal, (2) natural gas does not emit particulates that damage the respiratory systems of plants, animals, and humans, and (3) natural gas is potentially cheaper than coal.
One of my motivations in writing the book, Weathering Climate Change, was to show that global warming could be halted and climate stability restored through endeavors that economically benefit all humans. Instituting the win-win solutions I propose would preserve all three of Earth’s poles.
Reasons to Believe emerged from my passion to research, develop, and proclaim the most powerful new reasons to believe in Christ as Creator, Lord, and Savior and to use those new reasons to reach people for Christ. I also am eager to equip Christians to engage, rather than withdraw from or attack, educated non-Christians. One of the approaches I’ve developed, with the help of my RTB colleagues, is a biblical creation model that is testable, falsifiable, and predictive.
I enjoy constructively integrating all 66 books of the Bible with all the science disciplines as a way to discover and apply deeper truths. 1 Peter 3:15–16 sets my ministry goal, "Always be prepared to give an answer to everyone who asks you to give the reason for the hope that you have. But do this with gentleness and respect, keeping a clear conscience."
Hugh Ross launched his career at age seven when he went to the library to find out why stars are hot. Physics and astronomy captured his curiosity and never let go. At age seventeen he became the youngest person ever to serve as director of observations for Vancouver's Royal Astronomical Society. With the help of a provincial scholarship and a National Research Council (NRC) of Canada fellowship, he completed his undergraduate degree in physics (University of British Columbia) and graduate degrees in astronomy (University of Toronto). The NRC also sent him to the United States for postdoctoral studies. At Caltech he researched quasi-stellar objects, or "quasars," some of the most distant and ancient objects in the universe.
Not all of Hugh's discoveries involved astrophysics. Prompted by curiosity, he studied the world’s religions and "holy books" and found only one book that proved scientifically and historically accurate: the Bible. Hugh started at religious "ground zero" and through scientific and historical reality-testing became convinced that the Bible is truly the Word of God! When he went on to describe for others his journey to faith in Jesus Christ, he was surprised to discover how many people believed or disbelieved without checking the evidence.
Hugh's unshakable confidence that God's revelations in Scripture and nature do not, will not, and cannot contradict became his unique message. Wholeheartedly encouraged by family and friends, communicating that message as broadly and clearly as possible became his mission. Thus, in 1986, he founded science-faith think tank Reasons to Believe (RTB). He and his colleagues at RTB keep tabs on the frontiers of research to share with scientists and nonscientists alike the thrilling news of what's being discovered and how it connects with biblical theology. In this realm, he has written many books, including: The Fingerprint of God, The Creator and the Cosmos, Beyond the Cosmos, A Matter of Days, Creation as Science, Why the Universe Is the Way It Is, and More Than a Theory.
Between writing books and articles, recording podcasts, and taking interviews, Hugh travels the world challenging students and faculty, churches and professional groups, to consider what they believe and why. He presents a persuasive case for Christianity without applying pressure. Because he treats people's questions and comments with respect, he is in great demand as a speaker and as a talk-radio and television guest.
Having grown up amid the splendor of Canada's mountains, wildlife, and waterways, Hugh loves the outdoors. Hiking, trail running, and photography are among his favorite recreational pursuits - in addition to stargazing. Hugh lives in Southern California with his wife, Kathy, and two sons.